Sports wagering can be extremely profitable if a person know the tricks this “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a great example of this. We analyzed this Western side Va vs. Louisville activity, and concluded the fact that West Florida had this edge in the game. Nevertheless , My partner and i also recognized that there was a great deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not wager on that game. Here is the analysis I released before the game:
West Virginia or Louisville
This activity has all the indications of being one regarding the best games involving the year, using each teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using Western world Virginia coming backside from staying down major in the next quarter to winning around overtime, however,.
So what’s the overall game appear like this year?
If this game were being played with a new fairly neutral field, West California would likely probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the particular game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented move. Many people haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they lost to Virginia Tech. Through the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROUTE games.
All these are some very outstanding stats that tilt the particular scales in favor involving WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, the particular additional reward is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like significantly, but in a near match-up such as this, that more point can make the big difference between a push in addition to a loss.
But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s numbers are really almost as good since WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home video games.
Plus if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in the home since 12 , 16, 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. four points for each game in your own home, while hitting only stopping 15. 6 points every game in home. In case a person failed to do the mathematics, that means due to the fact their very own last home loss they’ve averaged beating their own oppositions by way of about 34 points per game.
Furthermore remarkable, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the spread, on average, by simply 13 points per online game at home due to the fact 2003.
Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?
Here’s precisely how…
Many of those stats had been accumulated during the 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They have already possessed recent games that has they’ve only scored 28, twenty three, 24 points. And the online games weren’t against Iowa Saint. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.
In essence that this is still a new close match to call up. But what I look to get is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest suggestion can be to lay off this game and definitely not gamble at all. There will be ufabet1688 with more simple advantages.
The final score on this game was Louisville forty-four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to return a new punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s fringe was not so big which they can still win right after doing so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific activity, people severe with regards to sports betting saved money that they can put to better work with on coming games.